Yes, it is a fatigue failure, but maybe not only because it was adjacent to a weld.I would be looking for the cause of the breakage; to me the repair is the easy part. did it break adjacent to a weld?
Done. Attached is the picture of the weld. It looks and feels solid. However, if anyone has the same issue later, just make sure they weld it at exactly the same angle. He welded it maybe one degree different and now it doesn't sit exactly in the center of the opening (in the bumper) anymore. I'll probably take it off and try to bend it back to the original angle, but will probably break it in the process and be back to where I started. For now, I'll leave it as is and direct my attention elsewhere.